If you live in Kuwait or anywhere else in the Gulf, youโre one of the people this warning is about. US officials have quietly told several Middle Eastern countries and regional allies to get ready for the possibility of new military strikes on Iran, and for whatever Iran might do in response.
The warning came from two diplomats who were briefed on the matter. They spoke without using their names because they werenโt allowed to share these sensitive messages publicly. According to them, the message is simple: be ready, strikes could come after the 3 November US midterm elections.
This isnโt the first time Washington has signalled this. As we reported when the US told Gulf states to brace for possible Iran strikes just last week, the pressure has been building for some time now.
- US officials have warned Middle East allies to prepare for possible new Iran strikes after 3 November.
- President Trump has not made a final decision, but has repeatedly hinted at renewed action.
- A new round of strikes could reportedly last several days, with Iranian retaliation expected to follow.
- The US has sharply increased its military presence in the region, including an aircraft carrier and thousands of troops.
So what exactly did the US tell its allies?
The diplomats say Washington has told regional partners that any new strikes would not be a one-off. A fresh round of attacks could last several days. Officials in the region are now preparing for the chance that Iran, or groups allied with Tehran, could hit back and drag the conflict out longer.
US officials have also pushed allies to take precautions against possible Iranian attacks on energy facilities and other important infrastructure. For a region where oil and gas sites sit close to shipping lanes used every day, thatโs not a small warning to ignore.
Importantly, the diplomats stressed that Trump has not made a final call on whether to actually launch new strikes. But he has said more than once that heโs considering military action once the elections are behind him. Readers who followed our earlier piece on Trump saying a strike was possible โtomorrowโ will recognise this pattern of warnings that havenโt yet turned into action.
Is Iran still open to talks?
Despite all this, Iran says it hasnโt given up on diplomacy. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Wednesday that Tehran is still working with mediators to review a proposal put forward last month. That proposal was meant to build a path back to a ceasefire. Trump, however, has already rejected it.
The United Arab Emirates has also weighed in, with its Foreign Ministry calling on all sides to show restraint and look for political solutions. The UAE wants to avoid a return to full-scale military operations in a conflict that first began in late February.
How did we get here? The military build-up so far
The US hasnโt actually struck Iran since early September. But the broader security picture in the region has grown more tense as the conflict has widened, something this site has tracked through pieces like Trump signalling more strikes were possible and the ongoing talk of a โMother of All Bombsโ option against Iran.
Late last month, the Pentagon sent the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt and several amphibious assault ships carrying Marines from San Diego to the Persian Gulf. That move alone involved about 9,000 troops.
A US official said at the time the build-up could eventually mean more than 20,000 sailors and Marines in the region, backed by hundreds of aircraft. That kind of concentration of US naval power has only happened a handful of times over the past 20 years. Back in April, the US Navy sent three carrier strike groups to the Middle East at once, something it hadnโt done since 2003.
Trump has said the war will end when he decides it ends, and that the US wants any conclusion to the conflict to stop Iran from ever getting a nuclear weapon.
What this means if you live in Kuwait
For citizens and expats in Kuwait, none of this is just background noise from far away. Kuwait sits close to the Gulf waters where much of this tension plays out, and any disruption to shipping or energy facilities nearby could affect daily life here, from fuel supplies to general uncertainty. Our earlier report on the US security alert covering Kuwait and 11 other countries is worth revisiting if you missed it.
Thereโs also a real risk that tensions rise even before the US elections happen. Jonathan Schanzer, executive director of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a Washington-based think tank, said Iran might not wait until after the vote if it believes a US attack is coming soon and sees a chance to act first.
You can keep up with how this story develops through our international news coverage, where weโve been tracking the back-and-forth between Washington and Tehran for weeks.
Quick answers
Has Trump decided to strike Iran?
No. Diplomats briefed on the matter say no final decision has been made, though Trump has repeatedly said heโs considering action after the US midterm elections on 3 November.
When did the US last strike Iran?
The US has not struck Iran since early September, according to the diplomats cited in this report.
Is Iran still interested in a ceasefire?
Yes, according to Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, who said Tehran is reviewing a proposal from last month with mediators, though Trump has already rejected that proposal.
Itโs hard to say right now how this plays out, but itโs clearly a story worth watching closely over the next few weeks. Have you noticed any changes in daily life here in Kuwait because of the regional tension? Let us know in the comments.
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